Unseasonal Rain to Lash Gujarat Amid Winter: Farmers Brace for Crop Challenges

Ahmedabad : The Meteorological Department has predicted an unusual weather event in Gujarat, with unseasonal rain expected to lash the state for three days starting December 26. This anomaly, caused by a cyclonic circulation system and a Western Disturbance over North-West Madhya Pradesh, is set to bring monsoon-like conditions in the middle of winter, causing widespread concern among farmers.

Weather Forecast and Rainfall Predictions

The state is likely to witness light to moderate rainfall ranging from 2.5 mm to two and a half inches across scattered areas. Thunderstorms and strong winds blowing at speeds of 30 to 40 kilometers per hour are also expected. The probability of unseasonal rainfall occurring has been estimated at 51% to 75%, according to weather experts.

These conditions are expected to lead to an increase in minimum temperatures by 2 to 4 degrees Celsius, significantly reducing the intensity of winter cold. Gujarat, which has been experiencing dense fog, particularly in coastal districts, will see a continuation of foggy mornings until afternoon during this period.

Naliya recorded the lowest minimum temperature in the state at 9.8°C over the last 24 hours, while Vadodara was the coldest city at night with a minimum temperature of 19°C. Ahmedabad registered a minimum of 18.6°C, Rajkot 11°C, and Surat 18.4°C. Early morning humidity levels in Surat peaked at 92%, blanketing the city in dense fog.

Impact on Farmers and Crops

Farmers across Gujarat are deeply worried about the potential damage to their winter crops. Dense fog, combined with unseasonal rain, could exacerbate crop stress. Dr. Rameshbhai Patel, a senior scientist at the Krishi Vigyan Kendra in Kherwa, Mehsana, highlighted the risks posed to key crops in the region.

Fog and drizzle in North Gujarat, including Mehsana, have already affected crops over the past five days. The predicted rain could lead to hailstorms, directly impacting crops such as mustard, fennel, cumin, sorghum, and other standing grains. Specific concerns include the spread of pests like Molomsi in mustard and the onset of scab disease in fennel and cumin.

Farmers, often referred to as the “sons of the earth,” are hoping that nature spares their livelihoods from further disruption. Dr. Patel also warned about increased chances of crop lodging, where standing grains and sorghum may fall due to high winds and rain.

Temporary Weather Relief Before Cold Wave Returns

While the unseasonal rain will temporarily raise minimum temperatures and reduce the chill in the air, this relief will be short-lived. Weather experts predict that cold wave conditions will return once the rain subsides, causing temperatures to gradually decrease again.